Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wyoming Cowboys v Nevada Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wyoming Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 46.77%2.14fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.848%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%46.79%46.75%47.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.042.1052.36%49.50%49.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 53.23%1.88fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.11%53.21%53.25%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.781.781.8458.14%56.12%56.18%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wyoming Cowboys (Local): 46.77%; Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit): 53.23%. For Wyoming Cowboys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.78%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.78%E -0.848%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.78%E -3.27%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:30
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.78%E -0.848%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.32%E -3.59%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.12%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:25
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.12%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:24
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.12%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:25
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.12%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:20
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.12%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 02:29
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.12%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.12%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.78%E -3.27%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.65%E -2.02%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 02:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.65%E -2.02%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 02:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 02:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 02:50
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 02:50
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 02:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 02:50
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 02:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 02:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.78%E -3.27%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 02:50
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.78%E -3.27%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 02:50
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.78%E -3.27%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 02:50
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.32%E -3.59%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 02:50
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.45%E -4.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 00:50
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.52%E -2.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.06%E -1.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 01:05
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.52%E -2.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.52%E -2.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 02:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -5.99%E -2.98%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.38%E -4.24%K -9.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 00:50
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.59%E -1.42%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 02:45
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.59%E -1.42%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.59%E -1.42%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 01:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 02:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 02:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 01:35
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 02:45
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 01:00
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 01:00
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 02:20
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.91%E -4.57%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 00:24
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.46%E -3.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.91%E -4.57%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.39%E -3.73%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.12%E -1.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 02:45
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.39%E -3.73%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.12%E -1.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 02:45
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.80%E -4.51%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.38%E -4.24%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 02:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.67%E -5.59%K -11.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 02:50
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.67%E -5.59%K -11.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 02:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-03-04 01:55
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-04 02:45
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-04 02:55
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%1.9%2026-03-04 02:35
BetOpenly1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%4.4%2026-03-04 02:50