Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wyoming Cowboys v Air Force Falcons

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

94%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wyoming Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 93.96%1.06fair odd

EV -3.23%

Edge -3.13%

Kelly -107.51%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

92.24%93.90%93.98%95.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.82%99.01%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 6.04%16.55fair odd

EV +39.01%

Edge +1.70%

Kelly +1.77%

Growth +0.692%

assuming max odds 23.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

4.17%6.10%6.02%7.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

12.0015.8215.0023.008.33%6.32%6.67%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wyoming Cowboys (Local): 93.96%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 6.04%. For Air Force Falcons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.55. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 23.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +39.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -6.04%E -6.04%K +0.000%G +0.000%	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +39.01%E +1.70%K +1.77%G +0.692%	4.3%	2026-02-28 10:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +26.93%E +1.28%K +1.35%G +0.362%	3.8%	2026-02-28 17:00
FanDuel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +14.84%E +0.781%K +0.824%G +0.122%	4.3%	2026-02-28 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.31%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	16.75I 5.97%NM 5.69%EV +1.24%E +0.074%K +0.079%G +0.001%	5.0%	2026-02-28 00:04
888sport🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -0.273%E -0.017%K -0.018%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-28 00:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -0.273%E -0.017%K -0.018%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-28 00:04
888sport (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -0.273%E -0.017%K -0.018%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-28 00:04
DraftKings🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -3.23%E -3.13%K -107.51%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV -3.29%E -0.206%K -0.220%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-02-28 20:54
theScore Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.16%E -4.08%K -208.25%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -3.29%E -0.206%K -0.220%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-28 20:54
Bet Right🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -3.29%E -0.206%K -0.220%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-28 00:04
BetMGM🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.16%E -4.08%K -208.25%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.34%E -0.623%K -0.667%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-28 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.34%E -0.623%K -0.667%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-28 20:54
Coral🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.34%E -0.623%K -0.667%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-28 20:54
Paddy Power🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.34%E -0.623%K -0.667%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-28 14:45
1xBet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.34%E -0.623%K -0.667%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-28 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.34%E -0.623%K -0.667%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-28 20:54
Neds🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.34%E -0.623%K -0.667%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-28 20:54
TAB🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.16%E -4.08%K -208.25%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -21.43%E -1.65%K -1.79%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-28 20:54
BoyleSports🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -21.43%E -1.65%K -1.79%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-02-28 14:45
Betsson🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -27.47%E -2.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-28 19:04
NordicBet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.10%E -5.05%K -510.45%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -27.47%E -2.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-28 19:01

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.03I 97.09%NM 96.91%	32.26I 3.10%NM 3.09%	0.2%	2026-02-28 20:14
Kalshi◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%	33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%	1.0%	2026-02-28 20:04
ProphetX◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%	3.0%	2026-02-28 20:44
Polymarket◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.02%	24.39I 4.10%NM 3.98%	3.1%	2026-02-28 20:54