Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.26
assuming max odds 4.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winthrop Eagles (Local): 77.40%; Jackson St Tigers (Visit): 22.60%. For Jackson St Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.08%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -7.12%E -5.93%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +5.08%E +1.09%K +1.39%G +0.071% | 4.8% | 2026-11-14 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -1.25%E -0.286%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-11-14 18:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -1.70%E -0.392%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-11-14 17:57 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.12%E -5.93%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.16%E -0.498%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-14 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.12%E -5.93%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.16%E -0.498%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-14 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.83%E -0.659%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-11-14 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.83%E -0.659%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-11-14 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.83%E -0.659%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-11-14 16:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.83%E -0.659%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-11-14 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -3.29%E -0.768%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-11-14 19:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-11-14 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-11-14 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-14 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-14 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-14 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-14 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-14 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-14 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-14 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-14 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-14 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.34%E -5.24%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.34%E -5.24%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.34%E -5.24%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.34%E -5.24%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.96%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-11-14 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.02%E -3.24%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-11-14 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-11-14 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-14 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-14 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-14 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-14 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.12%E -5.93%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-11-14 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.12%E -5.93%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-11-14 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-14 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-14 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-14 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.57%E -4.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-14 15:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.12%E -5.93%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-11-14 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.12%E -5.93%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-11-14 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -4.79%E -3.90%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -10.52%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-11-14 15:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.47%E -1.96%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-14 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.12%E -5.93%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-11-14 15:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.31% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.69% | -0.0% | 2026-11-14 19:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-11-14 19:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79% | 3.1% | 2026-11-14 19:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28% | 3.3% | 2026-11-14 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69% | 3.8% | 2026-11-14 19:30 |
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