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William & Mary Tribe v Hampton Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
William & Mary Tribe (Local)
Prediction 83.27%1.20fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -15.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.65%83.18%83.58%86.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.121.1792.59%89.26%89.29%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hampton Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 16.73%5.98fair odd
EV +17.10%
Edge +2.44%
Kelly +2.85%
Growth +0.487%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.37%16.82%16.42%19.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.705.757.0021.05%17.54%17.39%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: William & Mary Tribe (Local): 83.27%; Hampton Pirates (Visit): 16.73%. For Hampton Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.98. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -8.40%E -7.64%K -84.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +17.10%E +2.44%K +2.85%G +0.487% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -10.07%E -9.32%K -125.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +17.10%E +2.44%K +2.85%G +0.487% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 00:13 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.74%E -6.01%K -56.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.73%E +1.34%K +1.59%G +0.139% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:13 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.74%E -6.01%K -56.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.73%E +1.34%K +1.59%G +0.139% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:13 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -5.90%E -5.22%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV +6.06%E +0.955%K +1.13%G +0.069% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:02 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -5.90%E -5.22%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV +6.06%E +0.955%K +1.13%G +0.069% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -7.57%E -6.82%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV +2.04%E +0.335%K +0.400%G +0.008% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.38%EV -6.74%E -6.01%K -56.13%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.62%EV +1.21%E +0.199%K +0.239%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.74%E -6.01%K -56.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.369%E +0.062%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.57%E -6.82%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +0.369%E +0.062%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 00:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.57%E -6.82%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +0.369%E +0.062%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.57%E -6.82%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +0.369%E +0.062%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.90%E -5.22%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.90%E -5.22%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.74%E -6.01%K -56.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.74%E -6.01%K -56.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 00:13 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.57%E -6.82%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.57%E -6.82%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 00:13 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.83%EV -10.07%E -9.32%K -125.83%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -6.32%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-04 00:13 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.24%E -3.68%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:13 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.90%E -5.22%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.90%E -5.22%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.57%E -6.82%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.57%E -6.82%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.57%E -2.20%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.07%E -4.45%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 00:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.74%E -6.01%K -56.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -7.57%E -6.82%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -13.01%E -2.50%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.57%E -6.82%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -14.69%E -2.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.57%E -6.82%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -14.69%E -2.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.07%E -4.45%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 00:02 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -5.90%E -5.22%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -19.70%E -4.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -5.07%E -4.45%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -20.54%E -4.32%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.78%EV -5.90%E -5.22%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -20.54%E -4.32%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77% | 1.7% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.36% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:14 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 00:13 |