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William & Mary Tribe v Elon Phoenix
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
William & Mary Tribe (Local)
Prediction 68.18%1.47fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.79%68.02%68.03%69.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.411.4474.07%71.15%70.92%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elon Phoenix (Visit)
Prediction 31.82%3.14fair odd
EV +0.236%
Edge +0.075%
Kelly +0.110%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.62%31.98%31.97%34.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.912.883.1536.36%34.37%34.72%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: William & Mary Tribe (Local): 68.18%; Elon Phoenix (Visit): 31.82%. For Elon Phoenix (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.236%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.23%E -3.76%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +0.236%E +0.075%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -5.23%E -3.76%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -1.04%E -0.333%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 01:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -5.23%E -3.76%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -1.04%E -0.333%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 01:31 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.35%E -0.437%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.23%E -3.76%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.95%E -0.966%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.87%E -2.74%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.28%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -7.28%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -5.17%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.50%E -1.75%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.19%E -2.24%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.19%E -2.24%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 01:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.28%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -7.96%E -5.90%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -8.67%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -7.96%E -5.90%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -8.67%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.82%E -1.27%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.82%E -1.27%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.82%E -1.27%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.50%E -1.75%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.50%E -1.75%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.50%E -1.75%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.50%E -1.75%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.50%E -1.75%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.82%E -1.27%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.50%E -1.75%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.50%E -1.75%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.50%E -1.75%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.50%E -1.75%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33% | 91.6% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33% | 91.6% | 2026-03-08 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33% | 91.6% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |