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Western Michigan Broncos v Miami (OH) RedHawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Western Michigan Broncos (Local)
Prediction 13.78%7.25fair odd
EV +4.90%
Edge +0.644%
Kelly +0.741%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 7.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.63%13.96%13.69%17.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.546.507.6118.52%15.30%15.38%13.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit)
Prediction 86.22%1.16fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -19.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.70%86.04%86.31%87.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1392.59%90.09%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Michigan Broncos (Local): 13.78%; Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit): 86.22%. For Western Michigan Broncos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.25. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +4.90%E +0.644%K +0.741%G +0.036% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 22:23 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +4.90%E +0.644%K +0.741%G +0.036% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +4.90%E +0.644%K +0.741%G +0.036% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.38%E +0.451%K +0.521%G +0.018% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.38%E +0.451%K +0.521%G +0.018% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 22:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.38%E +0.451%K +0.521%G +0.018% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 22:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -0.062%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.30%E -3.87%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 22:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -0.062%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 22:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.51%E -0.501%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.30%E -3.87%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.51%E -0.501%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.30%E -3.87%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.51%E -0.501%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.51%E -0.501%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.03%E -5.53%K -66.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.51%E -0.501%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.03%E -5.53%K -66.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -6.26%E -0.921%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.30%E -3.87%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.95%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.30%E -3.87%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 22:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.27%EV -7.23%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.73%EV -3.44%E -3.07%K -28.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.40%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.30%E -3.87%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 22:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.40%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.40%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 22:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.40%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.89%E -6.38%K -86.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.40%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.89%E -6.38%K -86.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -13.85%E -2.22%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -13.85%E -2.22%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -13.85%E -2.22%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -13.85%E -2.22%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -13.85%E -2.22%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -13.85%E -2.22%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -13.85%E -2.22%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -13.85%E -2.22%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -13.85%E -2.22%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.03%E -5.53%K -66.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 22:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -13.85%E -2.22%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.03%E -5.53%K -66.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -13.85%E -2.22%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.03%E -5.53%K -66.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -14.54%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.29%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.30%E -3.87%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.29%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.30%E -3.87%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.29%E -2.88%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.30%E -3.87%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -24.18%E -4.40%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -24.18%E -4.40%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -24.18%E -4.40%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -24.18%E -4.40%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -25.56%E -4.73%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -2.58%E -2.28%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.24% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.76% | 0.8% | 2026-02-27 22:54 |
| Novig◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 1.3% | 2026-02-27 22:44 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.63% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.37% | 2.2% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 2.3% | 2026-02-27 22:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 2.3% | 2026-02-27 22:49 |