Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.48
assuming max odds 2.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Local): 42.86%; Kennesaw St Owls (Visit): 57.14%. For Kennesaw St Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.85%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -25.42%E -14.61%K -34.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +22.85%E +10.63%K +19.87%G +4.54% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 01:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -27.13%E -15.96%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV +18.28%E +8.83%K +17.08%G +3.12% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 01:21 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -22.85%E -12.69%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +14.28%E +7.14%K +14.28%G +2.04% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 01:22 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -21.99%E -12.08%K -26.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV +13.13%E +6.63%K +13.40%G +1.76% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 01:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -21.99%E -12.08%K -26.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV +13.13%E +6.63%K +13.40%G +1.76% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 01:21 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -19.85%E -10.61%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +11.42%E +5.86%K +12.02%G +1.37% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 01:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -22.85%E -12.69%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +9.13%E +4.78%K +10.04%G +0.917% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 01:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -24.99%E -14.28%K -33.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV +9.13%E +4.78%K +10.04%G +0.917% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 01:21 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.13%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.579%E -0.333%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.87%E -1.69%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.44%E -2.03%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.28%E -3.87%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -4.01%E -2.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.99%E -3.22%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -14.28%E -7.14%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -5.15%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.44%E -4.59%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +0.725%E +0.309%K +0.537%G +0.004% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.01%E -4.97%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.01%E -4.97%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.01%E -4.97%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.01%E -4.97%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.132%E -0.057%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.132%E -0.057%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.58%E -5.36%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -1.42%E -0.616%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.15%E -5.75%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.42%E -0.616%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.29%E -6.56%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +2.87%E +1.20%K +2.05%G +0.059% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -10.86%E -6.96%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +6.30%E +2.54%K +4.25%G +0.268% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -12.58%E -8.22%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +6.30%E +2.54%K +4.25%G +0.268% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -12.58%E -8.22%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +6.30%E +2.54%K +4.25%G +0.268% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -12.58%E -8.22%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV +4.15%E +1.71%K +2.90%G +0.121% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -13.15%E -8.65%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV +4.15%E +1.71%K +2.90%G +0.121% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -13.15%E -8.65%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV +4.15%E +1.71%K +2.90%G +0.121% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -13.72%E -9.09%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +2.87%E +1.20%K +2.05%G +0.059% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -14.29%E -9.53%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +2.87%E +1.20%K +2.05%G +0.059% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -14.86%E -9.98%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 01:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.50%EV +2.01%E +0.845%K +1.46%G +0.029% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.50%EV -14.86%E -9.98%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.10% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 34.24% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 65.76% | 50.6% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |