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Western Illinois Leathernecks v Lindenwood Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local)
Prediction 15.39%6.50fair odd
EV +6.18%
Edge +0.895%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.065%
assuming max odds 6.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.86%15.30%15.47%18.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.106.046.006.9019.61%16.56%16.67%14.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lindenwood Lions (Visit)
Prediction 84.61%1.18fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -25.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.73%84.70%84.53%86.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1490.91%88.86%88.50%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local): 15.39%; Lindenwood Lions (Visit): 84.61%. For Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.50. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +6.18%E +0.895%K +1.05%G +0.065% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.023%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.023%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.23%E -4.67%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.023%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.023%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.52%E -0.237%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -2.44%E -0.385%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -2.44%E -0.385%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -3.05%E -0.485%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.82%E -0.612%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.82%E -0.612%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.82%E -0.612%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.82%E -0.612%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.23%E -4.67%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.82%E -0.612%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.23%E -4.67%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.47%EV -4.13%E -0.663%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.53%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -6.13%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.23%E -4.67%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -6.13%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.23%E -4.67%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 18:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.23%E -4.67%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.23%E -4.67%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.23%E -4.67%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.52%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -11.52%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -11.52%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -19.98%E -3.84%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -21.52%E -4.22%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 7.09I 14.10%NM 14.06% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.94% | 0.3% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Polymarket◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 15:35 |
| Novig◎ | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.95% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.05% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |