Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Carolina Catamounts v Furman Paladins

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Carolina Catamounts (Local)

Prediction 50.73%1.97fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.733%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%50.22%50.80%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.902.0055.56%52.74%52.77%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Furman Paladins (Visit)

Prediction 49.27%2.03fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.78%49.20%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.891.871.9554.64%52.94%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Carolina Catamounts (Local): 50.73%; Furman Paladins (Visit): 49.27%. For Western Carolina Catamounts (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +1.47%E +0.733%K +1.47%G +0.021%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +1.47%E +0.733%K +1.47%G +0.021%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 19:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -0.563%E -0.287%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -0.563%E -0.287%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 22:04
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.07%E -0.549%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.07%E -0.549%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:04
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.07%E -0.549%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:05
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.07%E -0.549%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.07%E -0.549%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.07%E -0.549%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:04
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.58%E -0.813%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.36%E -4.50%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.09%E -1.08%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 22:04
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.09%E -1.08%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.09%E -1.08%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -2.09%E -1.08%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -3.10%E -1.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -6.89%E -3.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.10%E -1.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.10%E -1.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.61%E -1.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.93%E -2.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 22:14
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:04
Bet Right🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.11%E -2.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.62%E -2.46%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 22:24
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.93%E -2.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:04
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.93%E -2.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:24
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.93%E -2.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:14
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.93%E -2.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:08
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.93%E -2.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:04
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.93%E -2.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:05
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.41%E -2.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.41%E -2.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -8.36%E -4.50%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 22:09
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.14%E -3.32%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 22:24
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 22:24
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 22:24
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 22:24
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 22:14
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 22:14
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.68%E -4.82%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 22:04
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.68%E -4.82%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 50.87%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.13%-0.2%2026-02-28 22:24
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-02-28 22:14
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-02-28 22:24
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%3.1%2026-02-28 22:24
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%3.4%2026-02-28 22:24