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West Virginia Mountaineers v UCF Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)
Prediction 62.89%1.59fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.97%62.84%62.96%64.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.521.5669.44%66.10%65.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UCF Knights (Visit)
Prediction 37.11%2.69fair odd
EV +0.209%
Edge +0.077%
Kelly +0.123%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.71%37.16%37.04%39.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.392.552.552.7041.84%39.25%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 62.89%; UCF Knights (Visit): 37.11%. For UCF Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.209%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.209%E +0.077%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -0.534%E -0.199%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.65%E -0.622%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.65%E -0.622%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.65%E -0.622%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.93%E -4.68%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.65%E -0.622%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.93%E -4.68%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.65%E -0.622%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.04%E -3.34%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.76%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.90%E -1.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 00:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 01:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 00:57 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.04%E -3.34%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.25%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 01:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 01:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.41%E -2.90%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 01:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.34%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -6.93%E -4.68%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -6.47%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.53%E -1.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 01:03 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.04%E -3.34%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.44%E -6.56%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.44%E -6.56%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.04%E -3.34%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -7.96%E -3.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.56%E -5.14%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.56%E -5.14%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.41%E -2.90%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -11.30%E -4.73%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 01:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78% | 0.0% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 01:05 |