The School of College Oddsodds.college
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West Virginia Mountaineers v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 40.87%2.45fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.799%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%40.83%40.95%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.322.322.4044.44%43.15%43.10%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 59.13%1.69fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%59.17%59.05%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.621.6564.94%62.01%61.73%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 40.87%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 59.13%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.92%E -0.799%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 16:48
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.43%E -1.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.43%E -1.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 20:50
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.61%E -2.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 21:25
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 16:50
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.37%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.43%E -1.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 21:09
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.19%E -2.24%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 21:24
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 18:45
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 21:25
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -6.82%E -2.99%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.94%E -5.80%K -16.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 21:04
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -7.64%E -3.38%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 21:19
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 17:55
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 21:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-05 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-04-05 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-04-05 21:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-04-05 21:24
ProphetX◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-04-05 21:24
BetOpenly◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-04-05 21:04
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%1.6%2026-04-05 21:15