Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.51
assuming max odds 1.61
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 38.97%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 61.03%. For BYU Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -2.19%E -0.873%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.14%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.14%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.53%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.18%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.96%E -1.86%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 21:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.70%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.23%E -4.76%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.23%E -4.76%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.48%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.23%E -4.76%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.26%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.26%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -8.04%E -3.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.43%E -3.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.43%E -3.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.60%E -4.14%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -4.79%E -3.07%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.38%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.38%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12% | -0.0% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| Novig◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-03-11 22:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |