Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies v Wisconsin Badgers

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies (Local)

Prediction 44.61%2.24fair odd
EV +4.82%
Edge +2.05%
Kelly +3.57%
Growth +0.172%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.95%44.47%44.71%46.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.122.3548.78%46.93%47.17%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wisconsin Badgers (Visit)

Prediction 55.39%1.81fair odd
EV -0.845%
Edge -0.472%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.75%55.53%55.29%59.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.701.701.7961.35%58.70%58.82%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Huskies (Local): 44.61%; Wisconsin Badgers (Visit): 55.39%. For Washington Huskies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +4.82%E +2.05%K +3.57%G +0.172%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -9.71%E -5.96%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 19:14
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.364%E +0.162%K +0.291%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.38%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 20:49
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:49
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -2.31%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -9.15%E -5.58%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 18:04
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:49
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:59
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:49
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.72%E -2.75%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 20:49
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:54
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:49
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:49
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 20:49
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:50
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:49
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:50
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:49
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.95%E -1.10%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 20:49
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:54
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.38%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 20:49
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 20:49
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 20:49
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 20:54
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -0.845%E -0.472%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:59
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 20:49
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 20:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.67%E -3.70%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 20:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.60%E -5.21%K -13.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 20:49
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.60%E -5.21%K -13.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 20:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-02-28 20:54
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%1.5%2026-02-28 20:54
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-02-28 20:44
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.5%2026-02-28 20:59
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%3.8%2026-02-28 20:59