Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies v USC Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies (Local)

Prediction 61.44%1.63fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.59%61.51%61.43%63.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.551.561.5966.23%64.48%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USC Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 38.56%2.59fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.820%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.60%38.49%38.57%40.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.462.6543.48%40.80%40.57%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Huskies (Local): 61.44%; USC Trojans (Visit): 38.56%. For USC Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +2.17%E +0.820%K +1.32%G +0.029%3.1%2026-03-11 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +2.17%E +0.820%K +1.32%G +0.029%3.1%2026-03-11 17:05
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.527%E -0.204%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 18:02
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.68%E -0.660%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-11 17:20
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.68%E -0.660%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-11 18:25
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.68%E -0.660%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.07%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 18:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 18:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 17:14
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 18:05
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 17:49
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.22%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -4.00%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 18:05
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.00%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 18:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.54%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 18:05
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.54%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.54%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 18:25
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.54%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 18:05
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 18:25
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 18:05
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 17:50
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 18:20
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 18:20
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -9.01%E -3.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 18:25
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 18:05
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%-0.2%2026-03-11 18:25
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-11 17:25
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-11 17:20
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-03-11 18:25
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-11 18:25