Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons v Navy Midshipmen

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local)

Prediction 81.33%1.23fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -12.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.07%81.03%81.45%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.171.171.2086.96%85.23%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Navy Midshipmen (Visit)

Prediction 18.67%5.36fair odd
EV +7.36%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.114%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.67%18.97%18.55%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.914.755.7523.81%20.38%21.05%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local): 81.33%; Navy Midshipmen (Visit): 18.67%. For Navy Midshipmen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.36. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -6.47%E -5.63%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +7.36%E +1.28%K +1.55%G +0.114%4.3%2026-03-18 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.81%EV -5.66%E -4.88%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.19%EV +4.38%E +0.783%K +0.953%G +0.042%4.1%2026-03-18 22:20
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.85%E -4.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.828%E +0.153%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-18 20:10
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -4.85%E -4.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -0.105%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.85%E -4.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -0.852%E -0.161%K -0.198%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.85%E -4.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -0.852%E -0.161%K -0.198%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 20:05
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.85%E -4.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -1.04%E -0.196%K -0.242%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 16:46
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.22%E -2.71%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -8.51%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 16:50
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.47%E -5.63%K -43.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -8.51%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.47%E -5.63%K -43.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -8.51%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.41%E -2.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -11.31%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.22%E -2.71%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -11.31%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 20:05
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.22%E -2.71%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -11.31%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 20:05
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.47%E -5.63%K -43.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -11.31%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 20:55
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.85%E -4.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -12.24%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -2.41%E -2.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -13.18%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 16:50
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.03%E -3.42%K -22.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.11%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -3.22%E -2.71%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -17.84%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -4.85%E -4.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -17.84%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-18 20:05
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -4.85%E -4.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -17.84%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-18 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.03%E -3.42%K -22.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -21.58%E -5.14%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 22:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.18I 84.75%NM 84.87%6.62I 15.11%NM 15.13%-0.1%2026-03-18 22:50
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27%0.7%2026-03-18 22:45
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-03-18 22:45
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-18 20:05
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-18 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-03-18 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-03-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-03-18 22:05