Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local): 74.80%; Illinois St Redbirds (Visit): 25.20%. For Illinois St Redbirds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.804%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.804%E +0.201%K +0.268%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.804%E +0.201%K +0.268%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 15:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.01%E -3.94%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.456%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 17:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.62%EV -5.01%E -3.94%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.38%EV -0.708%E -0.180%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -5.01%E -3.94%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -1.21%E -0.309%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -5.01%E -3.94%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -1.21%E -0.309%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 17:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.26%E -3.33%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.72%E -0.440%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.01%E -3.94%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.72%E -0.440%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.26%E -3.33%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.24%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.75%E -7.17%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.75%E -7.17%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 15:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -2.76%E -2.12%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.26%E -3.33%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.51%E -2.72%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 01:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.26%E -3.33%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.06%E -3.78%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 07:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.76%E -2.12%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -5.75%E -4.57%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 18:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.37% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63% | 1.5% | 2026-03-22 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |