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Wagner Seahawks v New Haven Chargers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wagner Seahawks (Local)
Prediction 55.51%1.80fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.984%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.54%55.56%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.7760.61%58.25%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Haven Chargers (Visit)
Prediction 44.49%2.25fair odd
EV +0.096%
Edge +0.043%
Kelly +0.077%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%44.46%44.44%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.122.2548.78%47.14%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wagner Seahawks (Local): 55.51%; New Haven Chargers (Visit): 44.49%. For New Haven Chargers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.248. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.250, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.096%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.096%E +0.043%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.096%E +0.043%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 23:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.13%E -0.968%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.13%E -0.968%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 22:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.02%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 23:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.74%E -0.984%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 10:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.74%E -4.01%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 13:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.91%E -3.82%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 06:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.40%E -5.09%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.40%E -5.09%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05% | -0.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89% | 0.1% | 2026-02-26 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-02-26 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 23:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50% | 3.7% | 2026-02-26 23:54 |