Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 2.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wagner Seahawks (Local): 64.79%; Chicago St Cougars (Visit): 35.21%. For Chicago St Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.353%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.70%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.353%E +0.124%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.70%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.353%E +0.124%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.70%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.353%E +0.124%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.353%E +0.124%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.353%E +0.124%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.353%E +0.124%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.353%E +0.124%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.353%E +0.124%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.70%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.41%E -0.503%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.41%E -0.503%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.41%E -0.503%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 16:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.41%E -3.70%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.30%E -6.64%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.22%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -5.41%E -3.70%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -4.22%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.82%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.41%E -3.70%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.41%E -3.70%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.70%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -6.70%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -7.04%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.82%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.75%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.70%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.75%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.17%E -1.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.06%E -4.18%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.70%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.70%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.70%E -4.66%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08% | -0.2% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |