Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers v Wright St Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 17:50 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 92.64%1.08fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -54.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.50%92.52%92.59%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.031.031.05100.00%96.91%97.09%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wright St Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 7.36%13.59fair odd
EV +25.05%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.392%

assuming max odds 17.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.66%7.48%7.41%9.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.3412.5017.0010.00%8.10%8.00%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 92.64%; Wright St Raiders (Visit): 7.36%. For Wright St Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.59. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.50%E -5.40%K -275.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +25.05%E +1.47%K +1.57%G +0.392%3.9%2026-03-20 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.65%E -3.51%K -91.25%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +2.98%E +0.213%K +0.229%G +0.007%3.3%2026-03-20 15:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.65%E -3.51%K -91.25%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +2.98%E +0.213%K +0.229%G +0.007%3.3%2026-03-16 14:00
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +2.98%E +0.213%K +0.229%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-16 17:44
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.50%E -5.40%K -275.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +2.98%E +0.213%K +0.229%G +0.007%5.2%2026-03-20 11:40
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.72%EV -2.72%E -2.59%K -54.47%G +0.000%13.37I 7.48%NM 7.28%EV -1.65%E -0.124%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-18 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.80%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%13.27I 7.54%NM 7.20%EV -2.39%E -0.180%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.98%EV -7.36%E -7.36%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.02%EV -2.53%E -0.191%K -0.207%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:45
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.65%E -3.51%K -91.25%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -4.37%E -0.336%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 07:00
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.65%E -3.51%K -91.25%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -4.37%E -0.336%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 14:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -4.37%E -0.336%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 17:45
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -4.37%E -0.336%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -4.37%E -0.336%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 17:45
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -4.37%E -0.336%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 17:45
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -4.37%E -0.336%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -4.37%E -0.336%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 17:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.65%E -3.51%K -91.25%G +0.000%12.76I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -6.14%E -0.481%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.65%E -3.51%K -91.25%G +0.000%12.76I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -6.14%E -0.481%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -8.05%E -0.644%K -0.700%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:44
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -8.05%E -0.644%K -0.700%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -8.05%E -0.644%K -0.700%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:45
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -8.05%E -0.644%K -0.700%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.50%E -5.40%K -275.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -8.05%E -0.644%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.50%E -5.40%K -275.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -8.05%E -0.644%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.50%E -5.40%K -275.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -8.05%E -0.644%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.65%E -3.51%K -91.25%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -11.73%E -0.977%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 14:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.65%E -3.51%K -91.25%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -11.73%E -0.977%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 14:19
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -11.73%E -0.977%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 14:19
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.50%E -5.40%K -275.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -11.73%E -0.977%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 15:14
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.92%EV -2.72%E -2.59%K -54.47%G +0.000%11.95I 8.37%NM 8.08%EV -12.10%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 16:19
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -15.41%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -15.41%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 14:54
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.50%E -5.40%K -275.15%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -15.41%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 17:45
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.72%E -2.59%K -54.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -19.09%E -1.74%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 16:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.09%E -1.74%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 14:55
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.09%E -1.74%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 14:55
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.09%E -1.74%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 15:15
TAB🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.72%E -2.59%K -54.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -26.44%E -2.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 07:00
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.72%E -2.59%K -54.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -26.44%E -2.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -26.44%E -2.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 07:04
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -26.44%E -2.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 07:04
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.58%E -4.44%K -152.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -26.44%E -2.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 07:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.07I 93.46%NM 94.92%20.00I 5.00%NM 5.08%-1.5%2026-03-20 17:40
ProphetX1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-03-20 17:45
Novig1.06I 94.34%NM 93.46%15.15I 6.60%NM 6.54%0.9%2026-03-20 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-03-20 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-03-20 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-03-20 17:45
Kalshi1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-03-20 17:45
Polymarket1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-03-20 17:40
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 93.18%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.82%1.2%2026-03-20 17:45