Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers v Virginia Tech Hokies

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 84.53%1.18fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -12.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.17%84.39%84.54%85.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.141.1690.91%88.11%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit)

Prediction 15.47%6.46fair odd
EV +3.97%
Edge +0.591%
Kelly +0.694%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 6.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.29%15.61%15.46%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.805.906.7220.00%17.24%16.95%14.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 84.53%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 15.47%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.46. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.71%EV -5.33%E -4.76%K -44.41%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.29%EV +3.97%E +0.591%K +0.694%G +0.028%4.2%2026-03-07 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.33%E -4.76%K -44.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.568%E +0.087%K +0.103%G +0.001%4.7%2026-03-07 16:25
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.33%E -4.76%K -44.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.568%E +0.087%K +0.103%G +0.001%4.7%2026-03-07 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.568%E +0.087%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.5%2026-03-07 16:44
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.48%E -3.97%K -34.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.30%E -0.528%K -0.629%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.48%E -3.97%K -34.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.30%E -0.528%K -0.629%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.83%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.19%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -4.85%E -0.788%K -0.941%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 16:44
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.64%E -3.19%K -25.99%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 16:48
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.64%E -3.19%K -25.99%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.64%E -3.19%K -25.99%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 16:44
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.64%E -3.19%K -25.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:49
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.64%E -3.19%K -25.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:39
Everygame🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.64%E -3.19%K -25.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.97%K -34.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 16:44
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.97%K -34.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.97%K -34.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.33%E -4.76%K -44.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 16:54
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.33%E -4.76%K -44.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 16:54
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 15:54
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 16:25
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -8.72%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.64%E -3.19%K -25.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.04%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:44
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -11.04%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:24
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -11.04%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -11.04%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:54
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -11.04%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:54
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.33%E -4.76%K -44.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -13.36%E -2.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -1.95%E -1.68%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:29
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -1.95%E -1.68%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -1.95%E -1.68%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:29
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -1.95%E -1.68%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:29
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -1.95%E -1.68%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -1.95%E -1.68%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -1.95%E -1.68%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:34
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:44
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -3.64%E -3.19%K -25.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -18.77%E -3.58%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 16:44
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -1.95%E -1.68%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -21.09%E -4.14%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 16:04
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -1.95%E -1.68%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -21.09%E -4.14%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 16:30
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -1.95%E -1.68%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -21.09%E -4.14%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -1.95%E -1.68%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -21.09%E -4.14%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -1.95%E -1.68%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -22.64%E -4.53%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.17I 85.47%NM 85.68%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.32%-0.2%2026-03-07 16:49
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 85.15%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.85%0.4%2026-03-07 16:54
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 85.61%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.39%0.7%2026-03-07 16:40
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-03-07 15:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-03-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-03-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-03-07 16:45