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Virginia Cavaliers v Miami Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Virginia Cavaliers (Local)
Prediction 74.75%1.34fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -12.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%74.74%74.68%76.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.281.2981.97%78.65%78.13%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 25.25%3.96fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.255%
Kelly +0.340%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.46%25.26%25.32%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.583.753.734.0027.93%26.68%26.85%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 74.75%; Miami Hurricanes (Visit): 25.25%. For Miami Hurricanes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +1.02%E +0.255%K +0.340%G +0.003% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.57%E -5.25%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.02%E +0.255%K +0.340%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.57%E -5.25%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.02%E +0.255%K +0.340%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -8.81%E -7.22%K -40.05%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV +0.515%E +0.129%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -8.06%E -6.56%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.07%E -4.00%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.51%E -0.386%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.82%E -4.62%K -22.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.51%E -0.386%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.33%E -3.38%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.77%E -0.719%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.07%E -4.00%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.07%E -4.00%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.07%E -4.00%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.33%E -3.38%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -4.54%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 14:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.07%E -4.00%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.57%E -5.25%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 16:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.57%E -5.25%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.57%E -5.25%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.81%E -7.22%K -40.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.81%E -7.22%K -40.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.57%E -5.25%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.57%E -5.25%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.58%E -2.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.33%E -3.38%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.97%EV -5.82%E -4.62%K -22.39%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -9.59%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.31% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 23.69% | 0.0% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.1% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |