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Villanova Wildcats v Utah State Aggies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Villanova Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 45.71%2.19fair odd
EV -0.818%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -0.699%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.74%45.74%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.062.1750.00%48.39%48.54%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Utah State Aggies (Visit)
Prediction 54.29%1.84fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.26%54.26%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.761.8058.82%57.13%56.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Villanova Wildcats (Local): 45.71%; Utah State Aggies (Visit): 54.29%. For Villanova Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.17, with an expected value of -0.818%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.818%E -0.377%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.36%E -1.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.73%E -0.806%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 19:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.10%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 15:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 17:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 19:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 15:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 15:47 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.93%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.39%E -2.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.85%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.36%E -1.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.85%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.85%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.85%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 20:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.85%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.85%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.85%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 20:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.76%E -3.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.67%E -3.80%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.67%E -3.80%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -8.13%E -4.05%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.16%E -4.19%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 0.1% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 1.8% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |