Villanova Wildcats v UConn Huskies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 22:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

40%

60%

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Villanova Wildcats (Local)

Prévision 39.79%2.51cote équitable

EV -0.931%

Avantage -0.374%

Kelly -0.625%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

38.97%40.02%39.85%42.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Distribution des cotes

2.242.382.402.4944.64%42.06%41.67%40.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

UConn Huskies (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.21%1.66cote équitable

EV +1.76%

Avantage +1.04%

Kelly +2.55%

Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

57.11%59.98%60.15%61.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Distribution des cotes

1.531.581.571.6965.36%63.34%63.69%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur ▼	Marge	Mise à jour
PointsBet (AU)	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +1.76%E +1.04%K +2.55%G +0.045%	3.6%	2026-02-21 21:15
Bovada	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV +0.556%E +0.333%K +0.831%G +0.005%	3.4%	2026-02-21 22:22
DraftKings	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.96%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-21 22:25
BetUS	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.72%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-02-21 21:30
Pinnacle	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-02-21 21:45
BetOnline.ag	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.931%E -0.374%K -0.625%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-02-21 22:05
LowVig.ag	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.931%E -0.374%K -0.625%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-02-21 22:05
theScore Bet	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-02-21 22:00
Caesars	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-02-21 22:08
FanDuel	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-02-21 22:15
Hard Rock Bet	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-02-21 21:35
BetMGM	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-02-21 22:25
Betway	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-02-21 21:45
1xBet	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -10.88%E -4.86%K -8.77%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-02-21 22:20
LiveScore Bet	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 22:15
Virgin Bet	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 22:15
Unibet	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 22:15
Mr Green (SE)	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 22:25
888sport	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 22:25
888sport (SE)	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 22:25
Unibet (NL)	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 22:15
BetRivers	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 22:15
LeoVegas	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 22:15
betPARX	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 22:15
Bally Bet	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 22:15
ATG (SE)	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 22:15
Svenska Spel	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 22:20
Neds	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 22:20
TABtouch	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.70%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-21 22:15
BoyleSports	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-02-21 21:34
SportsBet	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.13%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-21 22:15
PlayUp	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.13%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-21 22:10
NordicBet	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -7.30%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.13%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-02-21 21:45
Betsson	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -7.30%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.13%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-02-21 21:45
Marathon Bet	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-21 22:25
Fliff	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-02-21 22:20
Coral	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.87%E -5.15%K -14.86%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-02-21 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.87%E -5.15%K -14.86%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-02-21 22:20

Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur	Marge ▲	Mise à jour
BetOpenly	2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%	1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%	-0.2%	2026-02-21 22:20
Polymarket	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%	1.2%	2026-02-21 22:25
ProphetX	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%	1.4%	2026-02-21 22:25
Novig	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%	1.7%	2026-02-21 22:24
Kalshi	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%	2.0%	2026-02-21 22:20