Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vermont Catamounts v UMass Lowell River Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vermont Catamounts (Local)

Prediction 80.71%1.24fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -11.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%80.52%80.91%81.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.191.191.2186.21%84.19%84.03%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 19.29%5.18fair odd
EV +0.312%
Edge +0.060%
Kelly +0.074%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.37%19.48%19.09%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.704.605.2023.81%21.28%21.74%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vermont Catamounts (Local): 80.71%; UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit): 19.29%. For UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.312%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.57%E -4.76%K -32.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +0.312%E +0.060%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.76%E -4.04%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -1.62%E -0.317%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.00%EV -4.76%E -4.04%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.00%EV -2.97%E -0.590%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 23:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.96%E -3.32%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.55%E -0.709%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 20:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.96%E -3.32%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.55%E -0.709%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 20:25
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.04%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.55%E -0.709%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.04%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.55%E -0.709%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 20:24
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.04%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.55%E -0.709%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 20:44
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.04%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.55%E -0.709%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.57%E -4.76%K -32.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.55%E -0.709%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.57%E -4.76%K -32.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.55%E -0.709%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 20:39
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.57%E -4.76%K -32.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.55%E -0.709%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 23:20
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.56%EV -4.76%E -4.04%K -26.46%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -5.67%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 10:55
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.76%E -4.04%K -26.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.40%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.76%E -4.04%K -26.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.40%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.76%E -4.04%K -26.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.40%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 23:55
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.37%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 20:45
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.38%E -5.50%K -39.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.33%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.38%E -5.50%K -39.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.33%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.26%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.26%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:54
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.26%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:54
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.26%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:54
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.26%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.26%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:54
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.26%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.26%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.26%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:55
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.26%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:54
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.57%E -4.76%K -32.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%EV -12.23%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 23:54
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.34%E -1.94%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.19%E -2.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.19%E -2.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.19%E -2.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 23:50
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.19%E -2.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 23:50
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.19%E -2.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 15:54
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -3.96%E -3.32%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -16.09%E -3.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.98%E -4.52%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 20:54
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.15%E -2.62%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.98%E -4.52%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.76%E -4.04%K -26.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -18.98%E -4.52%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 23:49
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.76%E -4.04%K -26.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -18.98%E -4.52%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.22I 81.97%NM 82.11%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.89%-0.2%2026-02-26 23:55
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95%0.3%2026-02-26 23:55
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-02-26 19:15
ProphetX1.23I 81.30%NM 79.77%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.23%1.9%2026-02-26 23:50
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.70%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.30%2.0%2026-02-26 23:54