Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.27
assuming max odds 4.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vermont Catamounts (Local): 76.42%; Quinnipiac Bobcats (Visit): 23.58%. For Vermont Catamounts (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.27, with an expected value of -2.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.94%E -2.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-11-08 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-11-08 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-11-08 17:20 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-11-08 18:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-11-08 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-11-08 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.04%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-08 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.04%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-08 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.04%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-08 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-11-08 18:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-11-08 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-11-08 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.22%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-08 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.22%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-08 18:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.24%E -4.22%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-08 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-08 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-08 14:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-08 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -6.63%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-11-08 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-11-08 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-08 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-08 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-08 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-08 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-11-08 18:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-11-08 18:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87% | 0.5% | 2026-11-08 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-11-08 18:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-11-08 18:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-11-08 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-11-08 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-11-08 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-11-08 16:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95% | 4.1% | 2026-11-08 18:40 |
No published comments yet.