Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.23
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vermont Catamounts (Local): 79.09%; Albany Great Danes (Visit): 20.91%. For Albany Great Danes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.78. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.54%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +4.54%E +0.908%K +1.13%G +0.051% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.45%E +0.500%K +0.628%G +0.015% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.357%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -2.36%E -0.506%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -2.36%E -0.506%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 21:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 21:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.51%E -2.87%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 21:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.46%E -6.38%K -43.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.92%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 21:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -7.59%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.01%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -2.72%E -2.21%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -2.72%E -2.21%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.51%E -2.87%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 21:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 21:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.51%E -2.87%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 21:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 2.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |