Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VCU Rams v George Mason Patriots

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VCU Rams (Local)

Prediction 81.93%1.22fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -8.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.83%81.76%82.03%83.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.161.2089.29%86.16%86.21%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

George Mason Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 18.07%5.53fair odd
EV +3.01%
Edge +0.527%
Kelly +0.639%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.79%18.24%17.97%20.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.215.305.7021.74%19.19%18.87%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VCU Rams (Local): 81.93%; George Mason Patriots (Visit): 18.07%. For George Mason Patriots (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.53. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.78%E -5.03%K -38.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +3.01%E +0.527%K +0.639%G +0.019%4.5%2026-03-03 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.78%E -5.03%K -38.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.20%E +0.214%K +0.261%G +0.003%4.8%2026-03-03 23:50
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.609%E -0.111%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 19:30
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.609%E -0.111%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.78%E -5.03%K -38.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.609%E -0.111%K -0.135%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 19:55
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.24%E -7.36%K -68.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.609%E -0.111%K -0.135%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -1.33%E -0.244%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -1.33%E -0.244%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.42%E -0.447%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 23:40
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.42%E -0.447%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 23:45
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.42%E -0.447%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.42%E -0.447%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 20:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.42%E -0.447%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.42%E -0.447%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.42%E -0.447%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 20:15
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.42%E -0.447%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.42%E -0.447%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 20:15
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.11%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.89%EV -2.96%E -0.551%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 19:45
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.22%E -0.797%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.22%E -0.797%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.22%E -0.797%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 20:15
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.22%E -0.797%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 20:15
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.78%E -5.03%K -38.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.22%E -0.797%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 20:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.13%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 19:30
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.13%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 19:28
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.13%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.13%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:30
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.78%E -5.03%K -38.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.13%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.60%E -5.79%K -47.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.13%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.60%E -5.79%K -47.15%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.03%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 15:45
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:55
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.78%E -5.03%K -38.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.64%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 20:50
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.60%E -5.79%K -47.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.64%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 19:30
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.60%E -5.79%K -47.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.64%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 19:30
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.60%E -5.79%K -47.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.64%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -12.35%E -2.55%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 17:50
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.32%E -2.82%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -13.26%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.69%E -1.40%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -14.16%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.50%E -2.10%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.16%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:55
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.50%E -2.10%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.16%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.96%E -4.28%K -31.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -14.16%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 20:09
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.78%E -5.03%K -38.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -16.87%E -3.67%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.78%E -5.03%K -38.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -16.87%E -3.67%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 20:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.20I 83.33%NM 84.52%6.55I 15.27%NM 15.48%-1.4%2026-03-03 23:50
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 82.01%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99%-0.0%2026-03-03 23:55
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-03 23:25
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-03-03 23:50
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.24%1.9%2026-03-03 23:55