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VCU Rams v Duquesne Dukes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VCU Rams (Local)
Prediction 73.05%1.37fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -6.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%73.09%72.34%74.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.301.301.3477.52%76.76%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Duquesne Dukes (Visit)
Prediction 26.95%3.71fair odd
EV +1.86%
Edge +0.491%
Kelly +0.667%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.44%26.91%27.66%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.423.7831.25%28.56%29.20%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VCU Rams (Local): 73.05%; Duquesne Dukes (Visit): 26.95%. For Duquesne Dukes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV +1.86%E +0.491%K +0.667%G +0.012% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV +1.86%E +0.491%K +0.667%G +0.012% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV +1.86%E +0.491%K +0.667%G +0.012% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 21:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.05%E +0.279%K +0.381%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.05%E +0.279%K +0.381%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV +0.508%E +0.136%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 21:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.300%E -0.081%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.300%E -0.081%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 21:17 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.99%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.99%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.99%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.99%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.99%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.99%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.99%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.57%E -2.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.04%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.11%E -1.57%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.84%E -2.13%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.57%E -2.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.57%E -2.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.57%E -2.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -10.54%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.77%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.77%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05% | 3.4% | 2026-03-13 21:20 |