Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores v Tennessee Volunteers

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 43.63%2.29fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.809%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%43.91%43.65%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.102.2550.00%46.95%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee Volunteers (Visit)

Prediction 56.37%1.77fair odd
EV +0.330%
Edge +0.185%
Kelly +0.423%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%56.09%56.35%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7860.61%58.32%58.31%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 43.63%; Tennessee Volunteers (Visit): 56.37%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.330%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.76%EV -7.93%E -3.76%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV +0.330%E +0.185%K +0.423%G +0.001%3.6%2026-03-13 19:59
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.36%E -0.778%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.36%E -0.778%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 20:00
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.36%E -0.778%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 19:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.36%E -0.778%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 19:59
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.36%E -0.778%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 19:59
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.36%E -0.778%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 19:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.36%E -0.778%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 19:59
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 19:59
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 19:59
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 19:58
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -9.24%E -4.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -2.49%E -1.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 19:59
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.73%E -6.37%K -12.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.49%E -1.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.68%E -4.67%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.05%E -1.77%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 19:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.68%E -4.67%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.05%E -1.77%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 19:59
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 19:58
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.15%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -3.62%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 20:00
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 20:00
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.55%E -5.15%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.82%E -0.809%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.82%E -0.809%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 19:59
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.82%E -0.809%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 19:59
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.82%E -0.809%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 19:59
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.82%E -0.809%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 20:00
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 19:58
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 19:59
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -10.55%E -5.15%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 20:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 20:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.87%E -3.52%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 20:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-13 20:00
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-03-13 20:00
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-03-13 20:00
ProphetX2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%2.7%2026-03-13 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%3.7%2026-03-13 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%3.7%2026-03-13 20:00
BetOpenly2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%4.4%2026-03-13 19:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 59.76%1.50I 66.67%NM 40.24%65.7%2026-03-13 20:00