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Valparaiso Beacons v Drake Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valparaiso Beacons (Local)
Prediction 57.93%1.73fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.20%57.82%57.93%58.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.631.6962.50%61.11%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Drake Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 42.07%2.38fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.12%42.18%42.07%43.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.262.262.3246.95%44.26%44.25%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valparaiso Beacons (Local): 57.93%; Drake Bulldogs (Visit): 42.07%. For Valparaiso Beacons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -2.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 00:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.91%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.76%E -2.57%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 00:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.26%E -1.95%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.23%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-25 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.26%E -1.95%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.23%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.26%E -1.95%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.23%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-25 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.26%E -1.95%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.23%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-25 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.26%E -1.95%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.23%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-25 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.26%E -1.95%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -3.84%E -2.31%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -10.38%E -4.87%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 22:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.23%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 22:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.00%E -3.05%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.23%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -5.00%E -3.05%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -7.86%E -3.59%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.58%E -3.42%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.58%E -3.42%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.58%E -3.42%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.58%E -3.42%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.39%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.39%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.39%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.39%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.39%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.39%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.39%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.23%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.07%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.07%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.07%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.74%E -4.19%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.07%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.74%E -4.19%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.07%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.74%E -4.19%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-25 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.32%E -4.57%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -5.76%E -2.57%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.32%E -4.57%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.32%E -4.57%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.32%E -4.57%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-25 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.32%E -4.57%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-25 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.46% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.54% | 0.0% | 2026-02-26 00:53 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 00:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-02-26 00:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90% | 2.4% | 2026-02-26 00:55 |