Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTSA Roadrunners v Wichita St Shockers

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTSA Roadrunners (Local)

Prediction 9.62%10.40fair odd
EV +5.78%
Edge +0.526%
Kelly +0.578%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.71%9.74%9.58%11.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.409.2011.0012.50%10.64%10.87%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wichita St Shockers (Visit)

Prediction 90.38%1.11fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -47.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.40%90.26%90.42%91.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.051.051.0796.15%94.88%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 9.62%; Wichita St Shockers (Visit): 90.38%. For UTSA Roadrunners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.40. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +5.78%E +0.526%K +0.578%G +0.033%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.19%E -3.96%K -69.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 21:44
theScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +5.78%E +0.526%K +0.578%G +0.033%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 15:35
Pinnacle🎯10.80I 9.26%NM 8.94%EV +3.86%E +0.357%K +0.394%G +0.015%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.06%EV -4.19%E -3.96%K -69.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 23:44
FanDuel🎯10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +3.86%E +0.357%K +0.394%G +0.015%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 23:19
GTbets🎯10.05I 9.95%NM 9.62%EV -3.35%E -0.334%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.38%EV -3.29%E -3.07%K -47.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 19:04
Fanatics🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -3.83%E -0.383%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.19%E -3.96%K -69.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 23:19
DraftKings🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -3.83%E -0.383%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.19%E -3.96%K -69.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 14:10
Caesars🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -3.83%E -0.383%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.19%E -3.96%K -69.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 14:08
888sport (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.83%E -0.383%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 00:54
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.83%E -0.383%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 00:54
Bet Right🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.83%E -0.383%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 00:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.83%E -0.383%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 00:54
Bovada🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.83%E -0.383%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 19:00
BetMGM🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV -6.24%E -0.640%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -4.19%E -3.96%K -69.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -6.33%E -0.650%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.29%E -3.07%K -47.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 14:09
LowVig.ag🎯9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -6.33%E -0.650%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.29%E -3.07%K -47.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 14:08
BetUS🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -8.64%E -0.910%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.29%E -3.07%K -47.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 14:09
Betr (AU)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -8.64%E -0.910%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.19%E -3.96%K -69.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 19:24
Betway🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -8.64%E -0.910%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.19%E -3.96%K -69.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 14:54
Everygame🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -8.64%E -0.910%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.19%E -3.96%K -69.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -11.05%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 14:09
Neds🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -11.05%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 14:09
Fliff🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.16%EV -11.53%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.84%EV -6.00%E -5.77%K -150.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:34
1xBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 14:14
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 14:09
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:14
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:14
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:34
Virgin Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:34
BetRivers🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:34
TABtouch🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:34
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:34
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:14
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:14
Bally Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:14
betPARX🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:14
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.45%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:19
TAB🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.26%E -2.15%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.29%E -3.07%K -47.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 14:09
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.26%E -2.15%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 14:54
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.26%E -2.15%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 14:10
Betsson🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -23.07%E -2.88%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 00:39
NordicBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -23.07%E -2.88%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.10%E -4.85%K -101.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 00:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly14.72I 6.79%NM 6.78%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.22%0.3%2026-03-02 00:34
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-03-02 00:29
Polymarket12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-03-02 00:19
ProphetX12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-02 00:54
Novig12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11%1.5%2026-03-02 00:49