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UTSA Roadrunners v VMI Keydets

2026-11-07 22:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTSA Roadrunners (Local)

Prediction 68.04%1.47fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -9.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%67.89%68.03%69.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.401.4173.53%71.75%71.43%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VMI Keydets (Visit)

Prediction 31.96%3.13fair odd
EV -0.938%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -0.447%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.96%32.11%31.97%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.902.903.1036.36%34.48%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 68.04%; VMI Keydets (Visit): 31.96%. For VMI Keydets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -0.938%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.06%E -2.88%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-06 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.74%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.74%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 00:30
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.74%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 00:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.74%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.12%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-06 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.74%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.12%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-06 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.74%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.12%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-06 23:25
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.42%E -3.90%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.938%E -0.303%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 00:29
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.37%EV -5.42%E -3.90%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.63%EV -8.29%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-07 00:00
picklebet_au🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.10%E -4.42%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-06 23:25
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.46%E -5.48%K -20.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.97%E -2.77%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-06 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%3.9%2026-11-06 23:45
Polymarket◎1.35I 74.07%NM 63.32%2.33I 42.92%NM 36.68%17.0%2026-11-07 00:50
Novig◎1.01I 99.01%NM 68.73%2.22I 45.05%NM 31.27%44.1%2026-11-07 00:45

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