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UTSA Roadrunners v East Carolina Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UTSA Roadrunners (Local)
Prediction 35.83%2.79fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -0.836%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%35.90%35.66%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.632.7540.00%38.08%38.02%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
East Carolina Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 64.17%1.56fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.10%64.34%65.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5469.44%67.08%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 35.83%; East Carolina Pirates (Visit): 64.17%. For East Carolina Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.54, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-25 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.46%E -0.532%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.82%E -0.665%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-25 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.82%E -0.665%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-25 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.25%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.25%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.97%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 18:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.05%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.11%E -2.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.05%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.05%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.05%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.05%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.05%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.05%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.05%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.40%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.11%E -2.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.76%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.76%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.76%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.76%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.76%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.76%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.76%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 10:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.18%E -0.767%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 00:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.82%E -1.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.11%E -2.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-25 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.63%E -3.38%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.63%E -3.38%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.63%E -3.38%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 13:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.63%E -3.38%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66% | 0.1% | 2026-02-26 00:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 00:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-02-25 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57% | 2.8% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |