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Utah Valley Wolverines v UT-Arlington Mavericks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah Valley Wolverines (Local)
Prediction 77.17%1.30fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -10.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%77.20%77.11%78.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.221.2683.33%81.43%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit)
Prediction 22.83%4.38fair odd
EV +0.461%
Edge +0.105%
Kelly +0.136%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%22.80%22.89%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.124.134.4026.67%24.28%24.24%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Valley Wolverines (Local): 77.17%; UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit): 22.83%. For UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.461%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.461%E +0.105%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -5.08%E -4.13%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -0.224%E -0.051%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -5.08%E -4.13%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -0.224%E -0.051%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 00:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.08%E -4.13%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -0.681%E -0.156%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 00:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.40%E -6.17%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.14%E -0.263%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.31%E -3.48%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.82%E -0.424%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 00:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.31%E -3.48%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.82%E -0.424%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.31%E -3.48%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.82%E -0.424%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.82%E -0.424%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.08%E -4.13%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.96%E -0.697%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 00:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.96%E -0.697%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 22:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.31%E -3.48%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.11%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 22:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.31%E -3.48%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.11%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.08%E -4.13%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.11%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 00:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.08%E -4.13%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.11%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.11%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.11%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.11%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.11%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.02%EV -3.54%E -2.83%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.98%EV -4.33%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.31%E -3.48%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.25%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 00:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.54%E -2.83%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.31%E -3.48%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.31%E -3.48%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 23:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 21:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -5.08%E -4.13%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -9.59%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-13 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.36%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -10.04%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 21:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.77%E -2.20%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.24%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.86%E -4.80%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.24%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.54%E -2.83%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.38%E -3.83%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 00:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.06% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 00:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.93% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.07% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 01:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 01:00 |