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Utah Valley Wolverines v Tarleton State Texans

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Valley Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 91.64%1.09fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -47.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.91%91.61%91.71%93.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.031.031.0698.04%96.63%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tarleton State Texans (Visit)

Prediction 8.36%11.96fair odd
EV +15.36%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.184%

assuming max odds 13.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.95%8.39%8.29%11.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5011.4711.5013.8011.76%8.72%8.70%7.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Valley Wolverines (Local): 91.64%; Tarleton State Texans (Visit): 8.36%. For Tarleton State Texans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.96. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +15.36%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.184%4.3%2026-02-27 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +8.68%E +0.667%K +0.723%G +0.063%4.8%2026-02-26 21:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.50%E +0.360%K +0.391%G +0.018%5.1%2026-02-26 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.50%E +0.360%K +0.391%G +0.018%5.1%2026-02-26 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.50%E +0.360%K +0.391%G +0.018%5.1%2026-02-26 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.50%E +0.360%K +0.391%G +0.018%5.1%2026-02-26 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.50%E +0.360%K +0.391%G +0.018%5.1%2026-02-26 22:50
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.50%E +0.360%K +0.391%G +0.018%5.1%2026-02-26 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.50%E +0.360%K +0.391%G +0.018%5.1%2026-02-26 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.50%E +0.360%K +0.391%G +0.018%5.1%2026-02-26 22:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.50%E +0.360%K +0.391%G +0.018%5.1%2026-02-26 22:49
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +4.50%E +0.360%K +0.391%G +0.018%5.1%2026-02-26 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.78%E -3.60%K -75.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +0.316%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.78%E -3.60%K -75.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +0.316%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:19
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +0.316%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 22:59
BetUS🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.78%E -3.60%K -75.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -3.86%E -0.336%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.69%E -4.51%K -117.35%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -3.86%E -0.336%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 21:45
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -3.86%E -0.336%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -3.86%E -0.336%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 21:45
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.78%E -3.60%K -75.55%G +0.000%11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -4.62%E -0.405%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.78%E -3.60%K -75.55%G +0.000%11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -4.62%E -0.405%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.78%E -3.60%K -75.55%G +0.000%11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -4.62%E -0.405%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 00:05
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.72%EV -6.53%E -6.40%K -326.34%G +0.000%11.30I 8.85%NM 8.28%EV -5.54%E -0.490%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 00:54
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.69%E -4.51%K -117.35%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -5.95%E -0.529%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 21:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.69%E -4.51%K -117.35%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -5.95%E -0.529%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.69%E -4.51%K -117.35%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -5.95%E -0.529%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 21:40
1xBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.04%E -0.731%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.04%E -0.731%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 21:44
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.04%E -0.731%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 21:44
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -12.22%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -16.40%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 21:09
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -16.40%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -16.40%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 00:29
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -16.40%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -16.40%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.12%EV -5.61%E -5.45%K -187.01%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.88%EV -21.42%E -2.28%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 00:43
PlayUp🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -2.86%E -2.70%K -47.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -28.94%E -3.41%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%0.2%2026-02-27 00:45
Polymarket◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-02-26 22:45
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-02-27 00:30
ProphetX◎1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.9%2026-02-27 00:55
Novig◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.55%13.16I 7.60%NM 7.45%1.9%2026-02-27 00:50