Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Valley Wolverines v GW Revolutionaries

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Valley Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 52.39%1.91fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%52.42%52.22%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.801.8557.80%55.81%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GW Revolutionaries (Visit)

Prediction 47.61%2.10fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.52%47.58%47.78%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.971.982.0552.36%50.67%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Valley Wolverines (Local): 52.39%; GW Revolutionaries (Visit): 47.61%. For GW Revolutionaries (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -2.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 23:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 23:32
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 17:00
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 18:56
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 22:05
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 23:35
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.60%E -4.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 23:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.07%E -4.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 23:50
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.21%E -3.47%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.26%E -4.10%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 23:40
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.26%E -4.10%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.17%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -8.31%E -4.75%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -8.31%E -4.75%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.07%E -4.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -8.31%E -4.75%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.07%E -4.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.83%E -5.08%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -9.36%E -5.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.22%E -3.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 23:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%0.7%2026-03-18 23:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-18 23:55
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-18 23:30
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-03-18 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-03-18 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-03-18 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-03-18 23:55
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-03-18 23:35