Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Valley Wolverines v Abilene Christian Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Valley Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 89.71%1.11fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -38.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.11%89.82%89.68%91.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.061.071.0896.15%94.11%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 10.29%9.72fair odd
EV +17.33%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.289%

assuming max odds 11.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.36%10.18%10.32%11.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.039.0011.4012.50%11.07%11.11%8.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Valley Wolverines (Local): 89.71%; Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit): 10.29%. For Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.72. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -6.70%E -6.45%K -167.60%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV +17.33%E +1.52%K +1.67%G +0.289%4.9%2026-02-28 20:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.21%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.175%3.4%2026-02-28 20:54
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.92%E +0.292%K +0.325%G +0.009%5.2%2026-02-28 15:30
1xBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.70%E -6.45%K -167.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.92%E +0.292%K +0.325%G +0.009%6.2%2026-02-28 20:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.245%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.245%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.93%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.56I 10.46%NM 10.07%EV -1.61%E -0.168%K -0.188%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.22%E -0.234%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:54
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.22%E -0.234%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.22%E -0.234%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 20:54
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.22%E -0.234%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 20:54
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.22%E -0.234%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.83%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.80%E -0.519%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:54
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.83%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.80%E -0.519%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.83%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.80%E -0.519%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:50
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:49
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:49
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:49
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:54
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 20:44
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 20:54
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 20:44
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.70%E -6.45%K -167.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:02
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.70%E -6.45%K -167.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.37%E -0.819%K -0.921%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -9.94%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 20:54
Everygame🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -9.94%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 13:23
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.12%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.13%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -11.49%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 20:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.21%EV -6.70%E -6.45%K -167.60%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.79%EV -11.49%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 20:54
Neds🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.52%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.52%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:54
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.12%E -2.88%K -38.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.66%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:49
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.66%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:49
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.66%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.66%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:49
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.66%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.01%E -3.75%K -57.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.66%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.66%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 20:54
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.66%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 20:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-02-28 20:44
Kalshi1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-02-28 20:54
ProphetX1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.9%2026-02-28 20:54
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%2.6%2026-02-28 20:54