Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes v Iowa State Cyclones

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 02:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 10.54%9.49fair odd
EV +5.39%
Edge +0.539%
Kelly +0.599%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%10.67%10.41%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.608.5010.0014.29%11.63%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa State Cyclones (Visit)

Prediction 89.46%1.12fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -42.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%89.33%89.59%90.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.071.0895.24%93.73%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Utes (Local): 10.54%; Iowa State Cyclones (Visit): 89.46%. For Utah Utes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.49. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +5.39%E +0.539%K +0.599%G +0.032%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.17%E -4.88%K -86.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 02:10
FanDuel🎯9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +4.34%E +0.438%K +0.487%G +0.021%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -5.17%E -4.88%K -86.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:10
BetMGM🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV +2.76%E +0.283%K +0.315%G +0.009%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -5.17%E -4.88%K -86.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +2.65%E +0.272%K +0.303%G +0.008%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.28%E -4.00%K -61.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +2.65%E +0.272%K +0.303%G +0.008%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.28%E -4.00%K -61.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 02:10
DraftKings🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.123%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.28%E -4.00%K -61.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 02:09
BetUS🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.123%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.28%E -4.00%K -61.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 02:09
888sport🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -2.51%E -0.272%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.17%E -4.88%K -86.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 01:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -2.51%E -0.272%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.17%E -4.88%K -86.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -2.51%E -0.272%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.17%E -4.88%K -86.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -2.51%E -0.272%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.07%E -5.78%K -121.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 02:10
Neds🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -2.51%E -0.272%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.07%E -5.78%K -121.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -5.15%E -0.572%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.28%E -4.00%K -61.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 02:05
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.15%E -0.572%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.17%E -4.88%K -86.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.15%E -0.572%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.07%E -5.78%K -121.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 02:10
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.15%E -0.572%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.07%E -5.78%K -121.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 02:09
Pinnacle🎯8.63I 11.59%NM 11.12%EV -9.05%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.88%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 01:59
Fliff🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -9.36%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.12%EV -6.07%E -5.78%K -121.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -10.42%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:09
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -10.42%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -10.42%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 01:59
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -10.42%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:09
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -10.42%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:09
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -10.42%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:10
TAB🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -10.42%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.28%E -4.00%K -61.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 02:08
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -10.42%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.07%E -5.78%K -121.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 02:10
Bovada🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -13.05%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 02:09
1xBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -15.69%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.17%E -4.88%K -86.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 01:59
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -15.69%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.07%E -5.78%K -121.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 02:00
NordicBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -15.69%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.07%E -5.78%K -121.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 01:59
Betsson🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -15.69%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.07%E -5.78%K -121.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 02:00
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -20.96%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -20.96%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 02:10
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -20.96%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -20.96%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 02:09
Bally Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -20.96%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 02:10
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.96%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.28%E -4.00%K -61.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.96%E -2.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.28%E -4.00%K -61.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 02:10
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -26.23%E -3.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly11.23I 8.90%NM 8.92%1.10I 90.91%NM 91.08%-0.2%2026-02-25 01:59
Novig10.20I 9.80%NM 9.81%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.19%-0.1%2026-02-25 02:09
ProphetX10.70I 9.35%NM 9.32%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.68%0.3%2026-02-25 02:10
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-02-25 02:10
Polymarket10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-02-25 02:10