Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.00
assuming max odds 1.91
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Utes (Local): 48.65%; Colorado Buffaloes (Visit): 51.35%. For Colorado Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -1.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.55%E -3.60%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.55%E -3.60%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.55%E -3.60%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.67%E -1.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 01:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.06%E -3.90%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.64%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.47%E -1.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.64%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.98%E -2.13%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.64%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.57%E -4.21%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.98%E -2.13%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.98%E -2.13%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 01:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.49%E -2.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.93%E -1.01%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.93%E -1.01%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.55%E -3.60%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.44%E -1.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.44%E -1.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.97%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.97%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.97%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.37% | -0.7% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |