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Utah State Aggies v UNLV Rebels
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah State Aggies (Local)
Prediction 75.93%1.32fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -7.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.15%75.84%75.90%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.261.2981.97%79.42%79.37%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UNLV Rebels (Visit)
Prediction 24.07%4.15fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.258%
Kelly +0.339%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%24.16%24.10%25.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.873.804.2027.03%25.86%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah State Aggies (Local): 75.93%; UNLV Rebels (Visit): 24.07%. For UNLV Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.08%E +0.258%K +0.339%G +0.004% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:46 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -4.33%E -3.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -0.841%E -0.204%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.33%E -3.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.32%E -0.323%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.33%E -3.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.32%E -0.323%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.08%E -4.07%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.32%E -0.323%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.08%E -4.07%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.32%E -0.323%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.32%E -0.323%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.32%E -0.323%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.33%E -3.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.53%E -0.624%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.57%E -2.81%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.73%E -0.932%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.33%E -3.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.73%E -0.932%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.07%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.73%E -0.932%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 18:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.07%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.73%E -0.932%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.73%E -0.932%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.73%E -0.932%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.73%E -0.932%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 18:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.08%E -4.07%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.93%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.62%EV -3.57%E -2.81%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.38%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.33%E -3.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.33%E -3.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 18:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.57%E -2.81%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.08%E -4.07%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.60%E -5.37%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.60%E -5.37%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 18:13 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -4.33%E -3.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -10.47%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.81%E -2.19%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.81%E -2.19%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.81%E -2.19%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.57%E -2.81%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.33%E -3.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.33%E -3.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.08%E -4.07%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.08%E -4.07%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.95% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 23.05% | -0.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |