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Utah State Aggies v San Diego St Aztecs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah State Aggies (Local)
Prediction 56.66%1.76fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.17%56.71%56.59%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.681.7362.50%59.76%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego St Aztecs (Visit)
Prediction 43.34%2.31fair odd
EV -0.327%
Edge -0.142%
Kelly -0.251%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%43.29%43.41%44.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.192.182.3048.08%45.59%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah State Aggies (Local): 56.66%; San Diego St Aztecs (Visit): 43.34%. For San Diego St Aztecs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -0.327%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -1.97%E -1.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -7.26%E -3.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 21:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 20:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.79%E -1.71%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.96%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.96%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.96%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -9.43%E -4.51%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -9.86%E -4.74%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.19%E -0.523%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.19%E -0.523%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.327%E -0.142%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 21:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.760%E -0.332%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.23%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.26%E -3.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.26%E -3.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -3.79%E -1.71%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -7.69%E -3.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.327%E -0.142%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 18:27 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 21:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 21:45 |