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Utah State Aggies v New Mexico Lobos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah State Aggies (Local)
Prediction 72.35%1.38fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -8.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%72.39%72.32%74.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.321.3478.13%76.12%75.76%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Mexico Lobos (Visit)
Prediction 27.65%3.62fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.618%
Kelly +0.847%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.00%27.61%27.68%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.403.7031.25%29.30%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah State Aggies (Local): 72.35%; New Mexico Lobos (Visit): 27.65%. For New Mexico Lobos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +2.29%E +0.618%K +0.847%G +0.019% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.477%E -0.133%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 11:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.477%E -0.133%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.86%E -0.524%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 20:37 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.69%E -0.764%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 20:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.24%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 20:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.24%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 20:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.22%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.24%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 20:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.22%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.24%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 20:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.22%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.24%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 20:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.62%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 20:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.62%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.62%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 20:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.22%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.62%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 20:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.39%E -5.77%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.62%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -7.39%E -5.77%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 20:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 20:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 20:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.22%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 20:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 20:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.04%E -2.27%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 18:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.15%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 20:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.15%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.15%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.54%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 20:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.54%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 20:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.19% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.81% | -0.2% | 2026-03-07 20:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 20:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 20:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 20:19 |