Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah State Aggies v Nevada Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah State Aggies (Local)

Prediction 70.67%1.41fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -8.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.11%70.60%70.82%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.351.3775.76%74.12%73.80%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 29.33%3.41fair odd
EV -0.284%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.118%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%29.40%29.18%30.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.13%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah State Aggies (Local): 70.67%; Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit): 29.33%. For Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.284%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.18%E -2.32%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 11:59
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -0.284%E -0.083%K -0.118%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-13 12:29
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.75%E -0.522%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 12:24
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.22%E -0.975%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 11:59
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.22%E -0.975%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 17:54
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.22%E -0.975%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 00:10
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.22%E -0.975%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 21:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.22%E -0.975%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.22%E -0.975%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 12:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.22%E -0.975%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 12:15
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.22%E -0.975%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 21:25
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 00:20
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 00:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 20:10
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.59%E -3.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.22%E -0.975%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.59%E -3.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.68%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 11:59
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.59%E -3.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 23:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.59%E -3.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 23:25
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.59%E -3.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 23:24
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.59%E -3.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -4.59%E -3.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -11.43%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 20:50
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.30%E -3.96%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.22%E -0.975%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.30%E -3.96%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.68%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 01:19
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.30%E -3.96%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -5.27%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.30%E -3.96%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.30%E -3.96%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 00:19
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.284%E -0.083%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 01:20
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.68%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 22:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 12:04
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 00:19
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -7.91%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 01:25
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:25
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.71%E -5.09%K -20.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 12:04
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.71%E -5.09%K -20.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 12:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 72.03%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.97%-0.1%2026-03-14 01:19
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-14 00:20
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-13 18:35
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.10%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.90%1.2%2026-03-14 01:14
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-03-14 01:10