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UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros v Texas State Bobcats

2026-11-11 00:30 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Local)

Prediction 33.15%3.02fair odd
EV -0.556%
Edge -0.185%
Kelly -0.278%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.87%33.22%33.03%35.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.862.903.0038.17%35.00%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas State Bobcats (Visit)

Prediction 66.85%1.50fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.37%66.78%66.97%68.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.421.401.4872.46%70.65%71.17%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Local): 33.15%; Texas State Bobcats (Visit): 66.85%. For UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.00, with an expected value of -0.556%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.556%E -0.185%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.07%E -3.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-10 14:50
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.556%E -0.185%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.07%E -3.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-10 14:53
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.22%E -0.409%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.07%E -3.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-10 15:00
theScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.40%E -3.08%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-10 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 17:04
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 17:05
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 17:05
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 17:08
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.74%E -5.61%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-10 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.74%E -5.61%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-10 14:19
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.74%E -5.61%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-10 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.21%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.74%E -5.61%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-10 14:19
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.40%E -3.08%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-10 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.40%E -3.08%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-10 14:23
GTbets🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.40%E -3.08%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-10 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.07%E -3.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 14:20
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-10 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-10 15:14
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.40%E -3.08%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 15:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.40%E -3.08%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 15:14
ReBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.82%EV -5.74%E -4.07%K -14.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-10 16:30
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-10 15:20
picklebet_au🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-10 16:29
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-10 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.84%E -3.22%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 15:14
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.84%E -3.22%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 15:15
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.84%E -3.22%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-10 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.84%E -3.22%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-10 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.84%E -3.22%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-10 14:35
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -9.84%E -3.62%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -1.06%E -0.716%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-10 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-10 15:14
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-10 15:14
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-10 16:35
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-10 15:14
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-10 15:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-11-10 17:40
Polymarket◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-11-10 15:35
ProphetX◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-11-10 17:40
Novig◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48%1.5%2026-11-10 17:35

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