Language:English
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros v Northwestern St Demons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Local)
Prediction 80.59%1.24fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -16.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.44%80.50%80.68%82.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.181.181.2086.96%84.84%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northwestern St Demons (Visit)
Prediction 19.41%5.15fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.367%
Kelly +0.453%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.97%19.50%19.32%21.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.834.905.2523.09%20.72%20.41%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Local): 80.59%; Northwestern St Demons (Visit): 19.41%. For Northwestern St Demons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.33%E -6.37%K -48.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.93%E +0.367%K +0.453%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -5.72%E -4.88%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.54%EV -0.209%E -0.041%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -0.985%E -0.193%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 20:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -0.985%E -0.193%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.72%E -4.88%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.985%E -0.193%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.10%E -3.45%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-02 20:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.10%E -3.45%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-02 20:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 20:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 23:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.93%E -0.585%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -3.90%E -0.787%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.10%E -3.45%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.87%E -0.993%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.87%E -0.993%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.87%E -0.993%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.87%E -0.993%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.87%E -0.993%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.30%E -2.75%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.78%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.10%E -3.45%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.78%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.10%E -3.45%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.78%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.33%E -6.37%K -48.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.78%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-02 19:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.75%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.75%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.75%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 20:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.75%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.52%E -5.62%K -40.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -8.75%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-02 20:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.52%E -5.62%K -40.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -8.75%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -5.72%E -4.88%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -9.72%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.69%E -2.32%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-02 21:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.72%E -4.88%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.69%E -2.32%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.30%E -2.75%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.63%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.72%E -4.88%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.63%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -13.41%E -3.01%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.72%E -4.88%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -14.58%E -3.31%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.72%E -4.88%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -14.58%E -3.31%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.10%E -3.45%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -15.55%E -3.57%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -4.10%E -3.45%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -15.93%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-02 23:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.29% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 16.71% | 0.1% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.90% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 18.10% | 1.7% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58% | 2.3% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |