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UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros v Nicholls St Colonels
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Local)
Prediction 68.66%1.46fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -4.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.48%68.97%69.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.401.4374.07%71.62%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nicholls St Colonels (Visit)
Prediction 31.34%3.19fair odd
EV -0.020%
Edge -0.006%
Kelly -0.009%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.20%31.52%31.03%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.952.903.1936.36%33.89%34.48%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Local): 68.66%; Nicholls St Colonels (Visit): 31.34%. For Nicholls St Colonels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.191. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.190, with an expected value of -0.020%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.82%E -1.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.51%E -1.76%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.51%E -1.76%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.19%E -2.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.19%E -2.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.19%E -2.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.19%E -2.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.19%E -2.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.19%E -2.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.19%E -2.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.19%E -2.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.19%E -2.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -10.36%E -3.62%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -3.15%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -7.31%E -5.42%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -10.05%E -3.50%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -7.31%E -5.42%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -10.05%E -3.50%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 76.08% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 23.92% | 31.4% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 43.25% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 56.75% | 61.7% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33% | 91.6% | 2026-03-10 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33% | 91.6% | 2026-03-10 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33% | 91.6% | 2026-03-10 00:55 |