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UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros v East Texas A&M Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Local)
Prediction 81.62%1.23fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -15.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.71%81.54%81.68%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.1987.72%85.23%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
East Texas A&M Lions (Visit)
Prediction 18.38%5.44fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.203%
Kelly +0.248%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.46%18.32%21.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.995.005.5022.73%20.05%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Local): 81.62%; East Texas A&M Lions (Visit): 18.38%. For East Texas A&M Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.96%E -6.10%K -49.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.11%E +0.203%K +0.248%G +0.003% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.724%E -0.134%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.14%E -5.34%K -40.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.724%E -0.134%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.48%E -0.663%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.48%E -0.663%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.48%E -0.663%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 19:02 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.33%E -4.59%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.48%E -0.663%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.33%E -4.59%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.40%E -0.846%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.33%E -4.59%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.40%E -0.846%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -4.77%E -0.921%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.69%E -3.13%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -5.32%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.69%E -3.13%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -5.32%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.24%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.24%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.24%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.24%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 21:43 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.69%E -3.13%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.96%E -6.10%K -49.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 06:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -9.92%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 21:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -9.92%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 21:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -9.92%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 21:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -9.92%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 21:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -9.92%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 21:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -9.92%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 21:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -9.92%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 21:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.56%EV -3.69%E -3.13%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -10.10%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -5.33%E -4.59%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -10.84%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.96%E -6.10%K -49.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.96%E -6.10%K -49.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 21:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 21:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 21:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -19.11%E -4.34%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 21:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -2.88%E -2.42%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -19.11%E -4.34%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 21:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.08% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.92% | 2.4% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.39% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.61% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 21:59 |