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UT-Arlington Mavericks v Utah Valley Wolverines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local)
Prediction 29.82%3.35fair odd
EV -0.086%
Edge -0.026%
Kelly -0.037%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.54%29.84%29.82%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.153.153.3533.33%31.71%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Utah Valley Wolverines (Visit)
Prediction 70.18%1.43fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -4.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.16%70.18%71.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.351.361.4076.34%73.87%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local): 29.82%; Utah Valley Wolverines (Visit): 70.18%. For UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.353. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.350, with an expected value of -0.086%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -0.086%E -0.026%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.97%E -4.45%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.58%E -0.478%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -2.17%E -0.663%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46%EV -8.07%E -6.16%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.77%E -0.850%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.77%E -0.850%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.07%E -0.944%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.07%E -0.944%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.97%E -4.45%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.96%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.16%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.16%E -2.29%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.16%E -2.29%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.86%E -2.82%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.86%E -2.82%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -1.75%E -1.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.75%E -1.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 15:12 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.16%E -2.29%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.86%E -2.82%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 15:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.44% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.56% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.85% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.15% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 19:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-02-21 19:40 |