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UT-Arlington Mavericks v Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local)
Prediction 66.41%1.51fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.86%66.31%66.43%68.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.431.431.4772.99%70.04%69.93%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit)
Prediction 33.59%2.98fair odd
EV +0.103%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.052%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.93%33.69%33.57%36.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.582.812.852.9838.76%35.57%35.09%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local): 66.41%; Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit): 33.59%. For Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.977. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.980, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.103%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.103%E +0.034%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.91%E -0.655%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.91%E -0.655%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 12:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -9.02%E -6.58%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -1.91%E -0.655%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 00:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.58%E -0.891%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.891%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.26%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 00:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 11:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 09:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 11:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 20:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 20:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 12:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 00:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 18:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 21:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.99%E -4.58%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 00:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.99%E -4.58%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 00:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -3.04%E -2.08%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -13.33%E -5.17%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 00:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.81% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 33.19% | -0.2% | 2026-03-13 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-13 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-13 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 00:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41% | 2.2% | 2026-03-13 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-03-13 00:55 |