Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.05
assuming max odds 1.47
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 33.02%; Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit): 66.98%. For USC Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.725%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.725%E +0.238%K +0.354%G +0.003% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.927%E -0.309%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.89%E -3.45%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.927%E -0.309%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.89%E -3.45%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.927%E -0.309%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.58%E -0.874%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.23%E -2.95%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 15:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.58%E -0.874%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.23%E -2.95%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -3.90%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -3.56%E -2.47%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.23%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.23%E -2.95%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.23%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.23%E -2.95%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:41 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.23%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.23%E -2.95%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.23%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.89%E -3.45%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.23%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.23%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.23%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.89%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.89%E -3.45%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.89%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.57%E -5.49%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.88%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.56%E -2.47%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.88%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.56%E -2.47%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 15:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.53%E -2.69%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.56%E -2.47%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.53%E -2.69%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.89%E -3.45%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.53%E -2.69%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.89%E -3.45%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.53%E -2.69%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 20:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -8.85%E -3.21%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.18%E -3.34%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.18%E -3.34%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -10.50%E -3.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -4.23%E -2.95%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.22%E -1.52%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.22%E -1.52%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.22%E -1.52%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.89%E -3.45%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.83%E -4.01%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.49%E -4.71%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.49%E -4.71%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -13.48%E -5.14%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 19:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22% | 0.0% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 20:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| Novig◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |